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1. 长江水利委员会 长江科学院,湖北,武汉,430010
2. 长江科学院 水利部长江中下游河湖治理与防洪重点实验室,湖北,武汉,430010
[ "卢金友(1963—),男,正高级工程师,硕士.研究方向:水利工程,E-mail:lujy66@vip.163.com" ]
[ "李凌云,正高级工程师,E-mail:lilingyun@mail.crsri.cn" ]
网络出版日期:2024-07-04,
收稿日期:2024-05-22,
修回日期:2024-06-15,
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卢金友,周银军,邓彩云,等.长江中下游崩岸险情智能感知预警与防治关键技术研究构想与成果展望[J/OL]工程科学与技术(2024-7-4).https://doi.org/10.12454/j.jsuese.202400363
LU Jing-you, ZHOU Yin-jun, DENG Cai-yun,et al.Research Concept and Prospects of Key Technologies for Intelligent Perception, Early Warning, and Prevention of Bank Collapse Risks in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River[J/OL]Advanced Engineering Sciences(2024-7-4).https://doi.org/10.12454/j.jsuese.202400363
卢金友,周银军,邓彩云,等.长江中下游崩岸险情智能感知预警与防治关键技术研究构想与成果展望[J/OL]工程科学与技术(2024-7-4).https://doi.org/10.12454/j.jsuese.202400363 DOI:
LU Jing-you, ZHOU Yin-jun, DENG Cai-yun,et al.Research Concept and Prospects of Key Technologies for Intelligent Perception, Early Warning, and Prevention of Bank Collapse Risks in the Middle and Lower Reaches of the Yangtze River[J/OL]Advanced Engineering Sciences(2024-7-4).https://doi.org/10.12454/j.jsuese.202400363 DOI:
崩岸是长江中下游河道自然演变的常见形式,严重威胁防洪安全、航道畅通及沿江经济基础设施正常运行甚至人民生命财产安全。三峡工程等水利水电工程建成运行引起长江中下游水沙情势显著改变,近年来中下游河道持续冲刷、局部河势调整、崩岸频发,造成多方面不利影响。尽管以往已进行了许多研究和治理,但由于影响因素众多,崩岸机理复杂,隐蔽性、突发性和随机性强,预警及治理难度依然很大。本研究以“崩岸机理揭示-大范围筛查-介入式监测-多尺度预警-系统化防治”为总体思路开展研究,围绕流-固耦合作用下的崩岸机理与险情智能筛查、河道岸坡土体全要素实时感知及崩岸模拟预警技术、耦合河势控制措施的崩岸系统防治技术等关键科学技术问题,重点研究持续冲刷下河势变化与崩岸动态响应关系,研发多源信息融合的崩岸险情智能筛查技术、河道岸坡全要素一体化智能感知技术、多尺度河道崩岸预测与预警技术,以及耦合河势控制措施的崩岸系统防治技术。旨在揭示持续冲刷条件下长江中下游崩岸发生的驱动因素及内在机理,研发崩岸险情智能感知预警及防治关键技术,实现崩岸险情智能筛查、多要素监测、动态预警与系统防治。通过项目研究将显著提高长江中下游河道崩岸发生的预见性和治理技术水平,促进崩岸从灾后抢护向灾前预防转变,为河道系统治理和水安全保障能力提升提供科技支撑。
Significance
Bank collapse is a common form of natural evolution in alluvial river channels
prevalent across nearly all river and coastal areas worldwide. It represents a critical issue in river geomorphology evolution and its impacts. The middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River are particularly susceptible to bank collapse
which poses significant threats to flood control
navigational channels
and the normal operation of economic
infrastructure along the river
as well as the safety of human lives and property. The construction and operation of hydraulic projects
such as the Three Gorges Reservoir
have notably altered the water and sediment dynamics in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. In recent years
these changes have led to continuous channel erosion
localized river channel adjustments
and frequent bank collapses. Over the past two decades
more than 1000 bank collapse incidents have been recorded
totaling a cumulative length of 760 km
causing various adverse impacts. Despite extensive research and remediation efforts
the complexity of the influencing factors
the intricate mechanisms of bank collapse
and its hidden
sudden
and random nature continue to present significant challenges for early warning and prevention. Therefore
it is necessary and urgent to conduct in-depth research on the mechanism of bank collapse
monitoring and early warning technology
and system governance in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River under the new hydrological and sediment conditions.
Progress
This study adopts a comprehensive approach encapsulated in the theme "Mechanism Revelation - Extensive Screening - Intervention Monitoring - Multi-scale Early Warning - Systematic Prevention and Control" to address key scientific and technical issues. The research focuses on the mechanisms of bank collapse under flow-solid coupling
intelligent hazard screening
real-time sensing of riverbank soil
bank collapse simulation and early warning technologies
and the development of systematic prevention and control technologies integrating river channel control measures. Regarding mechanism revelation
the study employs data analysis
numerical simulation
and flume experiments to elucidate the relationship between river channel changes and bank collapse dynamics under continuous erosion conditions. For perception and screening
remote sensing interpretation
data fusion
and machine learning methods are used to e
stablish and demonstrate intelligent screening technologies for bank collapse hazards based on multi-source information fusion from "air
space
and ground." In intelligent monitoring
the study integrates stereoscopic monitoring
data analysis
and technical integration methods to form and demonstrate a comprehensive intelligent monitoring network and integrated equipment for riverbank slopes. For prediction and early warning
the study develops a multi-scale universal model and dynamic early warning technology system for bank collapse prediction using coupled simulation
statistical analysis
and machine learning. In systematic prevention and control
data analysis
flume experiments
and theoretical research are used to propose and demonstrate bank collapse prevention and control technologies coupled with river channel control measures. The innovations of this research are primarily reflected in the novel approach to bank collapse mechanism studies
focusing on the dynamic response relationship between river channel changes and bank collapse under discontinuous bank protection conditions; innovative implementation of bank collapse screening technologies; the integration of multi-source heterogeneous information from "air
space
and ground" for intelligent hazard screening; advancements in bank collapse monitoring technologies
including the development of real-time sensing equipment for monitoring key influencing factors; and innovations in bank collapse simulation and early warning technologies
establishing a universal multi-scale dynamic early warning platform.
Conclusions and Prospects
The study aims to reveal the driving factors and intrinsic mechanisms of bank collapse in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River under continuous erosion conditions
develop key technologies for intelligent hazard perception
early warning
and prevention and control of bank collapse
and achieve intelligent screening
multi-factor monitoring
dynamic early warning
and systematic prevention and cont
rol of bank collapse hazards. The research outcomes will guide the planning
design
and implementation of river channel management in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River
and facilitate the construction and application of a dynamic early warning platform for bank collapse in key areas along the river. This will provide robust scientific support for decision-making by basin authorities
significantly enhance the predictability and management of bank collapse in the middle and lower Yangtze River
promote the overall improvement of bank collapse hazard prevention and control
and advance flood control and disaster reduction technologies. The study will facilitate a shift from post-disaster rescue to pre-disaster prevention
providing technological support for river system management and water security enhancement
yielding significant economic
social
and ecological benefits with extensive application value and broad promotion prospects.
河道崩岸机理筛查监测预警系统治理长江中下游
riverbank collapsemechanismscreeningmonitoring and early warningsystematic managementmiddle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River
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